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Nakagai Daily Brief

Mon 5 Oct 2026

Before the open, every trading day

Premarket

S&P 500SPY
-0.04%
at 769.31
Nasdaq 100QQQ
-0.11%
at 748.66
DowDIA
n/a
No premarket print
Russell 2000IWM
+0.23%
at 282.08

IEX premarket price against the prior close.

Futures slip as Iran sets conditions on Hormuz, indexes hold bullish structure

Tone

The S&P 500 closed up 0.73 percent and the Nasdaq 100 gained 1.01 percent. The Dow rose 0.48 percent and the Russell 2000 added 0.86 percent. Premarket moves are small: the S&P 500 is down 0.04 percent, the Nasdaq 100 down 0.11 percent, and the Russell 2000 up 0.23 percent. Dow premarket prices are not in yet. The structure score for the S&P 500 is 81, labeled Bullish. That means the index sits in an uptrend on both short and medium timeframes and near the upper part of its recent range, a supportive backdrop for today even with the flat open.

The main market story is Iran keeping conditions to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with futures slipping on the news. Separately, one analyst notes S&P 500 optimism is at its highest recorded level, which he says leaves less room for upside. Among companies, Michael Burry flagged Oracle's $664 billion backlog and AI spending, saying the customer is now the lender. Nvidia's $20 billion licensing deal with Groq faces a lawsuit from engineers, per the Financial Times.

There are no economic releases today. Earnings include Aehr Test Systems, Netcapital, and Maison Solutions.

Structure

Bullish81/100

Describes where SPY stands now. Not a forecast.

  • SPY above its 20-day average+25
  • 20-day average above the 50-day+25
  • In the upper third of its 20-day range+19.63
  • IEX premarket -0.0% vs prior close+11.4

News

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Today

Economic releases

No scheduled releases

Earnings

  • AEHRAehr Test Systems
  • NCPLNetcapital Inc.
  • MSSMaison Solutions Inc.

Key levels

LevelS&P 500SPYNasdaq 100QQQDowDIARussell 2000IWM
Prior close769.65749.49510.92281.44
Prior high772.65754.51512.88283.55
Prior low767.16747.63508.77280.92
5-day high772.65754.51516.79283.55
5-day low758.82731.65504.92275.51
IEX premarket769.31748.66n/a282.08

Informational only. Not financial advice or a trade signal.

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